Original Articles |
From the Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Department of Internal Medicine (A.P., C.S.R., M.S., A.S.J., D.R.H.) and Section of Biostatistics (R.J.L.), Mayo Clinic and Mayo Foundation, Rochester, Minn.
Reprint requests to Abhiram Prasad, MD, Mayo Clinic, 200 First St SW, Rochester, MN 55905. E-mail prasad.abhiram{at}mayo.edu
Received January 9, 2008; accepted June 16, 2008.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results— We evaluated 5487 patients from the Mayo Clinic registry who required nonemergency PCI, and we examined the relationship between periprocedural cTnT levels, with the 99th percentile cutoff value used for normal (<0.01 ng/mL), and outcomes. The patients were divided into 3 groups: normal preprocedural and postprocedural cTnT levels (no myonecrosis), normal preprocedural but elevated postprocedural cTnT levels (PCI-related myonecrosis), and abnormal preprocedural cTnT. The 30-day death rates were 0.1%, 0.6%, and 2.3%, respectively, in the 3 groups. In a multivariable model, an abnormal pre-PCI cTnT level (hazard ratio 9.66 [2.30–40.57]; P=0.002), and PCI-related myonecrosis (4.71 [1.02–21.83]; P=0.048) were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. Over a median follow-up of 28 months, an abnormal pre-PCI cTnT level (hazard ratio 1.79 [1.35–2.39]; P<0.001) independently predicted death, but the occurrence of PCI-related myonecrosis did not. A postprocedural elevation in creatine kinase MB fraction was not an independent predictor of long-term risk of death (0.912 [0.70–1.19]; P=0.5).
Conclusions— A preprocedural cTnT level >0.01 is a powerful independent predictor of prognosis after PCI and is of greater prognostic significance than the postprocedural biomarker levels. PCI-related myonecrosis occurs frequently and predicts short-term but not long-term risk of death.
Key Words: troponin angioplasty coronary disease outcome
| Introduction |
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Editorial see p 3
Clinical Perspective see p 10
This gap in knowledge is even greater now with the use of cardiac troponins, which are more sensitive cardiac biomarkers than CK-MB fraction. Furthermore, it is clear that the baseline troponin value carries prognostic information, a fact that was not accounted for in prior analyses that used CK-MB fraction. Only 2 studies to date have reported on the relative significance of pre- and post-PCI troponin elevation. One used a cutoff value for normal that was far higher than presently advocated and lacked the power to explore the relationship with outcomes.13 The other study, which used more contemporary cutoff values, suggested that preprocedural cardiac troponin T (cTnT) level was an important predictor for the occurrence of post-PCI myonecrosis.14 We now examine this hypothesis in a much larger cohort, using the sensitive cutoff values currently advocated by the new European Society of Cardiology/American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association/World Heart Federation (ESC/ACC/AHA/WHF) guidelines.15 Thus, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the relative impact of preprocedural and postprocedural cTnT levels on short- and long-term survival rate after PCI, with the 99th percentile value of <0.01 ng/mL used as the cutoff for normal.
| Methods |
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The present study includes all consecutive patients from the database for the period from November 1, 2000, when routine measurements of cTnT were initiated for our PCI patients, through October 31, 2005. The inclusion criterion was that patients required nonemergency procedures. Emergency procedures were defined as those that would need to be performed within hours of symptom onset, such as primary PCI, rescue PCI, or PCI for severe refractory ischemia. Patients were excluded if paired baseline and postprocedural cTnT values were unavailable. Hospital charts of each patient were reviewed to verify the data, and the study was approved by the Institutional Review Board. There were 6884 PCIs performed on 5908 unique patients. One hundred nineteen patients refused to authorize the use of their records for research, which resulted in a sample size of 6744 PCIs. Of these, 6348 had both pre- and post-PCI cTnT measures. The initial index PCI was used for the 5487 unique patients.
Blood samples for cardiac biomarkers were collected before PCI and 8 and 16 hours after PCI. Ninety percent of preprocedural samples were collected within 2 hours of PCI. Peak postprocedural values were used for the analysis. cTnT was measured with a sensitive and precise third-generation assay (Elecsys; Roche Diagnostics, Indianapolis, Ind). The upper limit of normal for the assay is <0.01 ng/mL (99th percentile value); the value at which the coefficient of variation is <10% is 0.035 ng/mL. Myonecrosis was defined as a cTnT level
0.01 ng/mL. Analysis was also conducted to evaluate the prognostic significance of the recently published ESC/ACC/AHA/WHF definition of myocardial infarction (MI), which arbitrarily defines a post-PCI MI, among patients with normal preprocedural values, as an increase in biomarker value that is
3 times the upper limit of normal (99th percentile).15
Definitions
The following definitions were used for the database. MI during follow-up was defined by the presence of 2 of 3 criteria: chest pain lasting
20 minutes, new ST/T-wave changes or Q waves on the ECG, and increased cardiac biomarker (creatine kinase or CK-MB fraction) levels at least twice the upper limit of the normal range. The number of diseased coronary arteries was defined by the number of major coronary arteries with luminal diameter stenosis
50%, with
70% stenosis in at least 1 vessel. Significant disease (
50%) in the left main was considered 2-vessel disease if there was right dominance and 3-vessel disease if there was left dominance. Angiographic success was defined as PCI with residual stenosis <50% in
1 treatment site.
Statistical Analysis
Data are presented as mean±SD for most continuous variables, median (inner quartile range) for skewed variables, or as a frequency (percentage) for discrete data. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate survival curves. Comparisons between groups are made using the Student t test, Pearsons
2 statistic, the Mann-Whitney rank-sum test, and the log-rank test for continuous, nominal, ordinal (specifically, most recent MI, smoking status, ACC/AHA lesion class, degree of angulation at lesion site, number of vessels treated, and length of stay) or skewed data, and survival data, respectively. For baseline clinical, angiographic, and procedural comparisons, P values were adjusted for the number of tests computed. To do so, 2000 permutation datasets were created (preprocedural troponin elevation was randomly permuted among the study subjects), and the P values reported in Tables 1, 2, and 3![]()
were calculated. The minimum P value was recorded for each permuted dataset. The adjusted P value for each variable was calculated as the proportion of minimum P values less than or equal to the variables observed P value.
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The authors had full access to the data and take full responsibility for the integrity of the data. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written.
| Results |
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40%, MI within 7 days of PCI, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic renal failure. Aspirin (91% versus 86%, P<0.001), β-blocker (84% versus 71%, P<0.001), and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (49% versus 41%, P<0.001) therapy was more commonly prescribed in patients with elevated cTnT. The use of lipid-lowering therapy was identical in both groups (60%).
Angiographic and Procedural Characteristics
Table 2 summarizes the angiographic characteristics according to preprocedural cTnT levels. Patients with elevated preprocedural cTnT values were more likely to have preprocedural TIMI 0 or 1 flow and had more multivessel coronary artery disease, type C lesions, and lesions associated with thrombus and ulceration. Procedural characteristics are presented in Table 3. In concert with more extensive disease and adverse baseline clinical characteristics, patients with elevated preprocedural cTnT levels were more likely to have procedural complications such as coronary embolism and in-laboratory persistent coronary vessel occlusion.
Preprocedural cTnT Level and 30-Day Outcomes
In patients with normal preprocedural cTnT levels, post-PCI elevation occurred frequently (43%), but the magnitude of rise was minor (interquartile range: <0.01, 0.04). Twenty-one percent of these patients also had a rise in CK-MB fraction above the upper limit of normal after PCI (Table 4), with CK-MB fraction values >5- and >8-fold above the upper limit of normal occurring in 3.5% and 1.6%, respectively. In-hospital death was exceedingly rare (0.1%) among patients with normal preprocedural cTnT levels, regardless of whether cTnT rose after PCI. In-hospital death, any MI, MI
24 hours after the procedure, and the composite of death, MI, coronary artery bypass grafting, and target vessel revascularization were more frequent among patients with elevated preprocedural cTnT levels (Table 5). Thirty-day death rates among those with preprocedural cTnT levels <0.01 versus
0.01 were 0.3% and 2.3%, respectively.
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1 year of follow-up. All-cause death and the combined rate of death and MI were lowest among patients with normal pre-PCI cTnT levels (Figures 2A and 3
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Analysis Based on the Universal Definition of Post-PCI MI
According to the universal definition of post-PCI MI, 32% of patients with normal preprocedural cTnT levels sustained an MI if cTnT (
0.03 ng/mL) is used as the criterion, and 6.5% sustained an MI if CK-MB fraction is used as the criterion. The multivariable models for outcomes were repeated with this cTnT cutoff used to define an MI, and the findings were unchanged. A post-PCI elevation in cTnT
0.03, among those with a normal pre-PCI cTnT level, remained an independent predictor of 30-day death (4.55 [1.21–17.1]; P=0.02) but not long-term death (1.04 [0.77–1.41]; P=0.8).
| Discussion |
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0.01 represented a threshold, such that any value above this level correlated with an increased risk for adverse events, which supports the ESC/ACC/AHA/WHF15 and National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry17 recommendations that the cutoff value of the 99th percentile represents the optimal threshold to correlate troponin values with increased risk; but (4) elevation of cTnT after PCI in patients with normal preprocedural levels was a significant predictor of 30-day death but did not independently predict long-term outcomes.
cTnT and Outcomes
The present study provides a detailed analysis of the relationship between pre- and post-PCI cTnT levels and outcomes after nonemergency procedures. The findings are representative of contemporary practice, as the majority of patients were treated with stents (92%), atherectomy devices were used infrequently (<2%), and glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors were used in 54% of interventions on a background of dual antiplatelet therapy. Among patients with normal preprocedural cTnT levels (stable or unstable angina), the in-hospital (0.1%) and 30-day (0.3%) death rates were very low. The annual death rate was 2.5% (Figure 2). Using the 99th percentile value of <0.01 ng/mL as normal, we determined that 37% of the cohort had evidence of myonecrosis before PCI. The risk for in-hospital death after PCI rose with increasing levels of preprocedural cTnT. The in-hospital and 30-day death rates for those with elevated pre-PCI cTnT levels were 1.3% and 2.3%, respectively, and the annual death rate during follow-up was approximately 5%.
Patients with an elevated preprocedural cTnT level had greater atherosclerotic burden. This observation is consistent with prior reports that troponin elevation is a marker for lesion complexity,18 even at the low cutoff values used in our study.19 Consequently, procedural success (98% versus 96%) and postprocedural TIMI grade 3 blood flow (97% versus 95%) were marginally lower among those with elevated preprocedural cTnT, and there was a higher incidence of angiographic complications.
The association between pre-PCI cTnT level and long-term outcomes mirrored that seen between post-PCI levels and outcomes (Figures 2A and 3
A). This is very likely because most of those with postprocedural cTnT elevations were patients with abnormal pre-PCI cTnT levels. To explore the relationship between preprocedural and postprocedural cTnT levels and outcomes, the cohort was separated into 3 clinically relevant groups: normal cTnT levels before and after PCI (no myonecrosis), normal preprocedural cTnT value but postprocedural cTnT elevation (PCI-related myonecrosis), and elevated baseline cTnT levels (predominantly patients with acute coronary syndromes). Those with no myonecrosis represented an exceedingly low-risk group with a 30-day death rate of 0.1% (Figure 1). Those with post-PCI myonecrosis had a higher, yet relatively low death rate of 0.6%. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to adjust for the numerous differences in baseline clinical, angiographic, and procedural characteristics among individuals with normal versus elevated cTnT levels. An elevated preprocedural cTnT value was a more powerful independent predictor of 30-day death (10-fold increased risk, P=0.002) than was post-PCI myonecrosis (5-fold increased risk, P=0.048). The confidence intervals for these estimates were relatively wide, however, which indicates that these estimates, though statistically significant, are unreliable and may be substantially underestimated or overestimated. Similarly, an elevated preprocedural cTnT level was an independent predictor of long-term risk of death, but a postprocedural cTnT elevation in patients with normal baseline value was not. Of note, the predictive value of cTnT was independent of a history of MI within 7 days of PCI. The conclusions were the same when the universal definition of post-PCI MI was used.15 Markers of atherosclerotic burden such as age and diabetes were additional independent predictors of long-term death. We speculate that like these clinical variables, pre-PCI cTnT level may in part be an indicator of atherosclerotic burden and disease activity, and when included in the multivariable models, diminishes the association between post-PCI biomarker elevation and outcomes.
Comparison With Previous Studies That Used CK-MB Fraction
Early studies establishing the association between myonecrosis and outcomes after PCI used CK-MB fraction, which is a less sensitive biomarker,1,2,4–10 and were based exclusively on postprocedural CK-MB fraction elevation in the face of normal preprocedural CK-MB fraction. In the present study, pre-PCI CK-MB fraction values were in the normal range in the majority of patients with preprocedural cTnT values up to 0.1 ng/mL (Table 4). The 2 largest studies to date by Ellis and colleagues4 and Stone and colleagues5 reported an association with outcomes only in the presence of a marked (5 to 8 times the upper limit of normal) post-PCI increase.4,5 In the present study, this magnitude of CK-MB fraction elevation after PCI was extremely infrequent in patients with normal preprocedural cTnT and was mostly observed in patients with significantly elevated preprocedural cTnT (>0.5 ng/mL). Thus, it is very likely that a large proportion of patients in the prior studies had non–ST-elevation MI at the time of the PCI according to contemporary definitions. We hypothesize that the strong association between post-PCI elevation in CK-MB fraction and outcomes in the prior studies may have been due to an unmeasured impact of acute coronary syndromes, which are associated with post-PCI myonecrosis and adverse outcomes. This is supported by our observation in the present study that among the patients with normal preprocedural CK-MB fraction, a postprocedural rise in CK-MB fraction above normal did not independently predict risk of death when the preprocedural cTnT level was included in the multivariate model. These data also support the observations of the ESC/ACC/AHA/WHF global task force15 and the National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry20 that, in evaluating postprocedural biomarker values, it is extremely difficult to distinguish the effects of the interventional procedure from the ischemic episode that leads to it.
Comparison With Previous Studies That Used Troponins
More recent studies have investigated the association between cardiac troponins and death.13,21–25 These have invariably examined the impact of postprocedural measurements and have not systematically explored the impact of preprocedural levels. The results have been inconsistent, with some reporting that an elevated troponin is13,22,24 and others that it is not21,23,25 an independent predictor of survival. The variable findings may relate to heterogeneity in the inclusion criteria, sample size, the sensitivity and specificity of the assay used to measure troponin, and the duration of follow-up. Kizer and colleagues13 conducted a small study in 212 patients in which preprocedural and postprocedural cTnT values were analyzed. Elevated pre- but not post-PCI values were predictive of long-term adverse events; however, a much less sensitive, 10-fold higher value of
0.1 ng/mL was used to diagnose myonecrosis. A recent study from our institution highlighted the significance of pre-PCI cTnT values in understanding the biomarker response to PCI.14 The study used the 10% coefficient of variation value of 0.035 ng/mL to define a normal level. An important observation from our study is that even a low-level elevation of cTnT before PCI, in the range
0.01 to 0.03 ng/mL, is associated with an increased long-term risk of death and MI (Figures 2 and 3
). These data are consistent with the prior reports in patients with acute coronary syndromes, where the use of the 99th percentile optimizes the prognostic effects of cTnT.26
We have previously shown, using a cutoff value of 0.03 ng/mL, that an isolated elevation of cTnT was a predictor of long-term risk of death.27 In the present study, in which we used a lower cutoff of 0.01 ng/mL, an elevation in post-PCI cTnT was an independent predictor of 30-day death but did not determine long-term death. This leads us to speculate that the PCI-related myonecrosis in this subset of patients, and the associated risk, may be a marker for unstable coronary artery disease that might be biochemically detectable before PCI if even lower cutoff values are used in conjunction with more sensitive assays. Indeed, evidence suggests that values <0.01 ng/mL may still provide prognostic information.28 Our study does not entirely exclude the alternative explanation that, in patients with normal preprocedural cTnT, PCI-induced myocardial injury may directly impair left ventricular function and predispose to arrhythmias that would influence survival. However, this seems unlikely given the trivial levels of myonecrosis (75% of patients had post-PCI cTnT value
0.04; Table 4), the weak statistical significance for the independent prediction of 30-day death (hazard ratio 4.71 [1.02–21.83]; P=0.048), and the lack of association with long-term death. Moreover, the absence of a causal association is supported by the observation that the etiology for deaths within 7 days of the PCI was either noncardiac or related to very high-risk clinical or procedural characteristics.
Limitations
Although the data were collected prospectively, this is a retrospective single-center analysis and is subject to the limitations of such analyses. Furthermore, multiple-regression models are unable to account for unobserved covariates that may be confounded with troponin. We intentionally did not try to quantify PCI-related myonecrosis in patients with elevated preprocedural cTnT because this is fraught with difficulty in the setting of non–ST-elevation MI, especially in a retrospective analysis. Moreover, Miller and colleagues14 have reported recently that an increase above baseline after PCI among those with abnormal levels before PCI is not associated with significant additional risk.
Conclusions and Implications
Preprocedural cTnT is a powerful independent predictor of prognosis after nonemergency PCI. Our data suggest that the observed association between post-PCI myonecrosis and outcomes in prior studies is a reflection of the preprocedural risk that may be estimated by using baseline cTnT and clinical characteristics. Moreover, the findings highlight the critical importance of early initiation of therapies proven to improve outcomes, such as glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors and aggressive secondary prevention measures, in any patient with an elevated preprocedural cTnT.29 PCI in patients with normal preprocedural cTnT (<0.01 ng/mL) is extremely safe. In these patients, an elevation in troponin after PCI is common and predicts short-term but not long-term risk of death. Extending hospitalization solely on the merits of a minor elevation in cTnT, in the absence of a significant procedural complication or clinical indications, is unlikely to be beneficial. Finally, it is unlikely that additional clinically relevant information can be gained from the post-PCI cTnT levels in patients with elevated preprocedural values, independent of baseline clinical risk and any procedural complications that may occur.
| Acknowledgments |
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Dr Jaffe is a consultant for Beckman-Coulter, Dade-Behring, Ortho Diagnostics, Critical Diagnostics, and Singulex. He is currently consulting or has consulted for almost all of the major diagnostic companies. The other authors report no potential conflicts.
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Controversy exists with regard to the clinical significance of postprocedural myonecrosis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Prior studies have relied on creatine kinase-MB fraction to detect myonecrosis and have largely focused on postprocedural levels. In this study, we evaluated the relative impact of preprocedural and postprocedural cardiac troponin T (cTnT) levels on survival rates after PCI. Our study demonstrates that preprocedural cTnT is a powerful independent predictor of prognosis and suggests that the observed association between post-PCI myonecrosis and outcomes in prior studies is a reflection of the preprocedural risk that may be estimated by using baseline cTnT and clinical characteristics. Moreover, PCI in patients with normal preprocedural cTnT (<0.01 ng/mL) is extremely safe. An elevation in troponin after PCI is common among these patients and predicts short-term but not long-term risk of death. Moreover, the study findings indicate that extending hospitalization in these patients solely on the merits of a minor elevation in cTnT, in the absence of a significant procedural complication or clinical indications, is unlikely to be beneficial.
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